![]() But looking at his splits in games with and without Harden, we saw that number jump from 37.2% when playing alongside Harden to an insane 39.5% in 15 games without Harden. Embiid’s always a usage monster, and he ranked No. That might actually put Embiid in a better position to rack up absurd stats. “But Jason, will Embiid be able to dominate if James Harden gets his way and leaves Philly?” You don’t even need to think Embiid is the rightful favorite to think this is presenting some real value - even if you were to think it’s a four-man toss-up between Jokic, Embiid, Giannis and Luka (the other two players with better odds than Embiid), it’d be a no-brainer to take Embiid at 8.5-to-1. ![]() For comparison, Jokic at +375 implies he’s just over twice as likely to win MVP at 21.1.%. A line of +850 implies that he only has a 10.5% chance to win the award. Not only is Embiid fourth in the odds, but he’s a distant fourth. The first thing that stands out is just how lopsided those odds are. Here’s why Embiid is a no-brainer MVP betting value. This is ridiculous considering he’s the reigning MVP and is maybe even better positioned to have a dominant season than he was last year. This probably isn’t going to surprise anyone in Philadelphia, but apparently even winning MVP isn’t enough to get Joel Embiid the respect he deserves.Īfter winning the award last season, Embiid still doesn’t even crack the top three in the odds to win the award in the 2023-24 season.
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